Tuesday, February 19, 2008

A Landslide In November?

These numbers are pretty remarkable (with 97% of precincts reporting). 

DEMOCRATS
Obama:  635,985 58%
Clinton:  444,917 41%

Total: 1,080,902

REPUBLICANS
McCain: 219,670
Huckabee: 147,781
Paul: 18,767
Romney: 7,856

Total: 394, 074

Overall Total: 1,474,976

This means Obama not only beat Clinton big, but he beat McCain big. 416,315 votes big. That's roughly 2/3 more votes than McCain. In other words, a blowout.

Now, let's play a little hypothetical game. 

Let's assume that most, if not all, of Clinton's supporters vote for Obama in the general. That'll give him 1,080,902 votes. 

Let's also assume that supporters of the other Republicans give their votes to McCain (not as safe an assumption given Huckabee's restive Christian conservative support—they seem to hate McCain). Still, for the purpose of this hypothetical, let's give him the votes. He'll have 394,074 votes. 

The totals will look like this.    

Obama: 1,080,902      
McCain: 394,074

Yeah, you read that right, Obama gets over a million votes, McCain less than 400,000. That's twice as many votes and then some. 

And these numbers are playing out in state after state across the country. The total Democratic vote tallies have been doubling the Republicans'—virtually everywhere. 

We could be headed for a landslide election year. If memory serves, it'll be the first since Reagan walloped Mondale in 1984. (Mondale took only his home state of Minnesota.)

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