Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Nine In A Row!

Another big night for Obama. He wins Wisconsin by upwards of 17 points (as of now). And wins in every demographic except white women and the 60+ crowd. Those are huge inroads. 

Worse still for Clinton is that he's polling about even with her in Texas and even if she wins the head count in TX, they may split delegates evenly (or he could even win more) due to weird apportion protocols. 

The caveat is, as always, that Clinton can still pull something out. But it's looking harder with each passing day. I'm wary of overconfidence, but at this point, I'll go out on a limb and say Obama's got it—or at any rate, it's his to lose. 

Here's some basic exit poll data from Talking Points Memo:
By Greg Sargent - February 19, 2008, 10:05PM
The exit polls show that Obama cut deeply into Hillary's core constituencies in racking up his sizable victory in Wisconsin tonight.

• Obama edged Hillary in the female vote, 51%-49%.

• He won by a sizable margin among middle-aged voters, 53%-46%.

• He won by decent margins among voters with an income less than $50,000.

• He won by big margins among self described moderates and conservatives.

• He won overwhelmingly among people who decided in the last week or the last three days, though Hillary won narrowly among those who decided in the last day.

• He won narrowly among members of union households.

Full exits here.
The full exit poll data is fascinating if you're into that kind of thing.

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